Daniel Devine

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I’m primarily interested in public opinion and political attitudes, how these are formed and expressed, and their causes and consequences. This seems to be developing into two strands: the role of the media in influencing political attitudes and behaviour, and the causes and consequences of democratic legitimacy. My PhD thesis studies how European integration, in particular, impacts the perceived democratic legitimacy of the member state. In this I focus on responsibility attributions, the role of policy autonomy, and the complexity of multilevel governance.


Peer Reviewed Articles

2019 ‘Perceived Government Autonomy, Economic Evaluations, and Political Support During theEurozone Crisis’. Accepted, West European Politics. (Paper)

2018 ‘Does Media Coverage Drive Public Support for UKIP or Does Public Support for UKIP Drive Media Coverage?’ With Justin Murphy. Forthcoming, British Journal of Political Science (Open access here, code and data here; coverage from The Guardian (twice), The Conversation, Der Spiegel, Al Jazeera)

2018 ‘England, Englishness and the Labour Party‘, with John Denham. OnlineFirst, The Political Quarterly. (media coverage in the Huffington Post here and here)


‘Shelter During the American Period: Icelandic Relations with the US and International Organisations’ with Baldur Thorhallsson, Sverrir Steinsson and Throsteinn Kristinsson, in Thorhallsson, Baldur (ed) Small States and Shelter Theory: Iceland’s External Affairs. London: Routledge. In press. (Available here)

Book Review: “How Europeans View and Evaluate Democracy”. 2017. Political Studies Review 15(4): 661-662

Policy Reports and Engagement

2019. ‘Becoming Secretary of State’Institute for Government.

2017. ‘English Identity and the Governance of England‘, with John Denham. Flagship report for the British Academy’s ‘Governing England’ conference.

2015. Whitehall Monitor: The Coalition in 163 ChartsInstitute for Government.

2015. Estate of the nation: the government estate since 2010, Institute for Government

2015. Cabinet Committees, Sub-committees and Taskforces, Institute for Government.

2015. Lying in wait: who will be the permanent secretaries meeting the new ministers in 2015?, Institute for Government.

Blogs/Outreach etc

I occasionally blog using the Medium site: https://medium.com/@daniel.devine

2018. ‘UKIP: How press coverage drives public support‘. The Conversation.

2018. Hate crime did spike after the referendum – even allowing for other factors. LSE Brexit

2016. Did Brexit increase hate crimes? Probably, yes*, Politics Upside Down.

2016. The Divergence Challenge, Policy Network

2014. ‘National Politics: are people turning away?’, Society Central.

2014. Daniel Devine ‘Party Competition in a Conflict State: Northern Ireland’, ESTRO Journal 6(2), pp.62-72.

2013. ‘Poverty porn’, Society Central.

2013. ‘is a degree really the route to social mobility?’, Society Central.

Current Projects                                                                                                          

‘The Effect of Partisanship and Incumbency on Political Trust in Multilevel Systems: The Case of Scotland’. (Presentation Paper, Slides)

‘Trust in Government and Political Socialisation: A comparative age, period and cohort analysis’, with Professors Will Jennings and Maria Grasso.

‘Did Brexit Cause an Increase in Hate Crimes?’ (Working Paper)

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